Contagion in networks

Explosive Contagion in Networks | Scientific Reports The spread of social phenomena such as behaviors, ideas or products is an ubiquitous but remarkably complex phenomenon.

Contagion in networks. We develop a theoretical framework for the study of epidemiclike social contagion in large scale social systems. We consider the most general setting in which different communication platforms or categories form multiplex networks. Specifically, we propose a contact-based information spreading model, and show that the critical point of the multiplex system associated with the active phase is ...

Many behavioral phenomena have been found to spread interpersonally through social networks, in a manner similar to infectious diseases. An important difference between social contagion and traditional infectious diseases, however, is that behavioral phenomena can be acquired by non-social mechanisms as well as through social transmission.

According to social contagion theory [29, 30], a person's attitudes and behavior can be contagious to others in their social networks [31]. Thus, people tend to adapt their actions to the behavior ...Here we are interested in studying the differences on the final contagion densities in networks with or without memory (Fig. 5.b main panel), all other parameters of the rumor spreading model ...By constructing trade–investment networks and modeling the contagion of systemic risk in trade and investment channels within different countries, we design three immune strategies, namely, Random Immune, Target Immune, and Neighbor Immune, and compare the inhibitory effect of these strategies on the shock contagion of multilayer …As the COVID-19 outbreak has an impact on the global economy, there will be interest in how China’s financial markets function during the outbreak. To investigate the path of risk contagion in China’s financial sub-markets before and after the COVID-19 outbreak, we divided the 2016–2021 period into two phases. Based on the time of the COVID-19 outbreak, …The network is particularly vulnerable to contagion when the originating node is large, highly leveraged, and, crucially, has a relatively high proportion of its obligations held by other financial institutions as opposed to the nonfinancial sector, what we will call high financial connectivity.Here we extend simplicial contagion to time-varying networks, where pairwise and higher-order simplices can be created or destroyed over time. By following a microscopic Markov chain approach, we ...Fig. 5, Fig. 6 show the effects of changing the network structure on systemic risk and the number of defaulting banks with and without the non-central clearing, respectively. The network structure can be changed by changing the network density parameter to set the network density parameters a ∈ 0. 1, 0. 9.The greater the network …

The prime minister has warned the Israel-Hamas war risks unleashing a "contagion of conflict" across the Middle East. Rishi Sunak, who met with leaders in …Downloadable! This paper provides an introduction to the literature on financial contagion in networks. In the first part, we consider contagion via transmission of shocks, i.e. an abrupt drop in the flow of revenue to one firm, which affects other firms connected to it through financial linkages. We then study informational contagion, by which we mean the process whereby a …See Full PDFDownload PDF. Infectious Disease Modeling of Social Contagion in Networks Alison L. Hill1,2*, David G. Rand1,3, Martin A. Nowak1,4,5, Nicholas A. Christakis6,7,8 1 Program for Evolutionary Dynamics, Harvard University, Cambridge, Massachusetts, United States of America, 2 Biophysics Program and Harvard-MIT Division of Health ...You can install a Dish Network satellite system into your home without a lot of trouble. You can do this yourself or have it done professionally. There are a few things you will need to complete this task, depending on which approach you ta...We explore how the probability and potential impact of contagion is influenced by aggregate and idiosyncratic shocks, changes in network structure and asset market liquidity. Our findings suggest that financial systems exhibit a robust-yet-fragile tendency: while the probability of contagion may be low, the effects can be extremely widespread ...U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures for November delivery, which expired after settlement on Friday, fell 62 cents, or 0.7%, to $88.75 a barrel.

Complex contagions that require more than two contacts to “infected” sources can be described with threshold rules. In the following description of such general contagion dynamics, the components of a network are regarded as either active or inactive and change their state according to three fundamental processes: (i) an active node becomes …Are you looking for a reliable television provider that offers a wide range of packages and prices? Dish Network is a great option for those who want to get the most out of their TV experience.Similarly, the analysis of the contagion network on the trade front indicates a great transformation between the regions of the world, indicating consequently the advent of a large-scale shock that is COVID-19 and especially the containment policy that has had a significant effect on bilateral relations (see Fig. 2).The shutdown during the period of the …tion is how network structure interacts with other potential sources of contagion. In the run-up to the crisis, leverage levels increased and capital buffers at some banks were extremely thin. Large financial institutions had increased their reliance on short-term Contagion in Financial Networks † Paul Glasserman and H. Peyton Young*Explosive contagion in SIS epidemics. The evolution of the spreading process depends both on transmission rates and dynamical rules imposed. For concreteness, we start the analysis by employing the exponential synergistic transmission rates (2) for contagion dynamics given by the rules of the SIS epidemic model applied to …

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The aim of this chapter is to provide an introduction to the literature on financial contagion in networks. We aim to do this by focusing on a limited number of papers in some formal …By constructing trade–investment networks and modeling the contagion of systemic risk in trade and investment channels within different countries, we design three immune strategies, namely, Random Immune, Target Immune, and Neighbor Immune, and compare the inhibitory effect of these strategies on the shock contagion of multilayer …Whilst sparser networks limit the ability of shocks to spread, reducing contagion, they also reduce the risk sharing capacity of the market and so increase the risk of individual banks failing. The model presented in the next section will examine this interaction and the behavior of the financial system as a whole.In NetworkRiskMeasures: Risk Measures for (Financial) Networks. Description Usage Arguments Value References Examples. View source: R/contagion.R. Description. Given a matrix of exposures, a vector of buffers and weights (optional) the functions simulates contagion for all the shock vectors provided.

Core-periphery networks are highly susceptible to contagion and generate fire sales of assets that exacerbate financial contagion beyond the mechanical role of network structure. In contrast, contagion is minimal on circle networks and market prices remain stable. Uncertainty on the location of the shock has little influence.Additive manufacturing plays a decisive role in the field of industrial manufacturing in a wide range of application areas today. However, process monitoring, …Learn More . Network security creates shielded, monitored, and secure communications between users and assets. Despite the rapid evolution of what constitutes the users, assets, and connections ...Contagion in close-knit financial networks. In 2011, Nature published a short discussion piece in which the Executive Director of Financial Stability in the Bank of England, Andrew G. Haldane, and Professor of Zoology at Oxford University, Robert M. May, proclaimed the systemic failure of the financial sector during the 2008 global financial crisis could be described and explained via an ...contagion: [noun] a contagious disease. the transmission of a disease by direct or indirect contact. a disease-producing agent (such as a virus).The proposed contagion-based dynamics are verified through an empirical multi-city analysis, and can be used to monitor, predict and control the fraction of congested links in the network over ...Definition 1. Given a network configuration σ, a liquidity shock of size θ at bank i, d ( j; σ, θ, i) is the least number of steps a shock can transmit via a directed path in the network from bank i to bank j, that is, the geodesic path from bank j to bank i through insolvent banks. By definition, d ( i; σ, θ, i ) ≡ 0.Network security is the combination of policies and procedures implemented by a network administrator to avoid and keep track of unauthorized access, exploitation, modification or denial of the network and network resources.of contagion in networks and prove their theoretical properties. Our algorithms are easy to implement and help to quantify relationships previously inaccessible due to computational intractability. Using these algo-rithms, we study the spread of contagion in scale-free networks with 1,000 players using millions of Monte Carlo simulations.By investigating the dynamics of systemic risk contagion across networks, we extend the DebtRank model to a three-layer network. The empirical results suggest that the multilayer structure of the banking system has a non-linear superimposed effect on systemic losses, with interbank lending and holdings common asset being the main …2. Social networks and contagion. Formally, a social network is a collection of individuals and the ties between them. The presence of a tie between two indi viduals indicates that the individuals share some kind of a relationship; what types of relationships are encoded by network ties depends on the context. For exam

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Abstract. This contribution studies the effects of credit contagion on the credit risk of a portfolio of bank loans. To this aim we introduce a model that takes into account the counterparty risk in a network of interdependent firms that describes the presence of business relations among different firms. The location of the firms is simulated ...Fig. 1. Simplicial contagion model (SCM). The underlying structure of a social system is made of simplices, representing d-dimensional group interactions ( a ), organized in a simplicial complex ...We estimated these contagion effects by combining daily global weather data, which creates exogenous variation in running among friends, with data on the network ties and daily exercise patterns ...Contagion Dynamics in Complex Networks. Lucas Böttcher24 . Chapter. First Online: 20 April 2022. 387 Accesses. Part of the Emergence, Complexity and …Oil climbs on Mideast contagion fears from Israel-Gaza conflict. A person puts gas in a vehicle at a gas station in Manhattan, New York City, U.S., August 11, …The Adversary then allocates attack resources on nodes; if an attack succeeds then the Adversary decides on how successful resources should navigate the network. We obtain two principal results. One, we show that in a wide variety of circumstances a star network with all defence resources allocated to the central node is optimal for the Designer.As the COVID-19 outbreak has an impact on the global economy, there will be interest in how China’s financial markets function during the outbreak. To investigate the path of risk contagion in China’s financial sub-markets before and after the COVID-19 outbreak, we divided the 2016–2021 period into two phases. Based on the time of the COVID-19 outbreak, …Researchers have already observed social contagion effects in both in-person and online interactions. However, such studies have primarily focused on users’ beliefs, mental states, and interests. In this article, we expand the state of the art by exploring the impact of social contagion on social alignment, i.e., whether the decision …

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This paper studies the problem of identifying the contagion source when partial timestamps of a contagion process are available. Contagion processes can be used to model many real-world phenomena, including rumor spreading in online social networks, epidemics in human beings, and malware on the Internet. Informally speaking, locating …contagion in networks, homophily may also explain such evidence. Here we develop a dynamic matched sample estimation framework to distinguish influence and homophily effects in dynamic networks, and we apply this framework to a global instant messaging network of 27.4 million users, using data on the day-by-day adoption of aAbstract. Models of spreading processes in networks can help to provide insights into phenomena such as epidemic outbreaks, opinion formation, and failure propagation. Many contagion models are based on the idea that spreading occurs from an “infected” source to “non-infected” components, which may recover.Our article contributes to this literature by developing a general framework for the study of optimal network design and defence in a setting with strategic conflict and contagion dynamics. The analysis of this framework yields results on optimality of CP-star and multi-hub networks that are new.New contagion measures based on theories of copula, heavy-tailed distributions and networks are introduced. The measures are applied to study …We further demonstrate how Bayesian network theory can be applied to detect contagion channels within the financial network, to measure the systemic importance of selected entities on others, and ...Luitgard A. M. Veraart. We develop a new model for solvency contagion that can be used to quantify systemic risk in stress tests of financial networks. In contrast to many existing models, it ...Social Contagion is defined as the spread of behaviors, attitudes, and affect through crowds and other types of social aggregates from one member to another. Adolescents are prone to social contagion because they may be especially susceptible to peer influence and social media. In this article, we provide a brief review of the most recent ...Using a case study of a newly emerging CSA, the role of social contagion in network evolution will be assessed. The merit of this research stems from its central task of uncovering the dynamics manifest in the evolution of food networks. Network mapping will quantify the changes of food networks that have previously only been captured in a ... ….

Explosive Contagion in Networks | Scientific Reports. The spread of social phenomena such as behaviors, ideas or products is an ubiquitous but remarkably complex phenomenon. A successful avenue...of contagion in networks and prove their theoretical properties. Our algorithms are easy to implement and help to quantify relationships previously inaccessible due to computational intractability. Using these algo-rithms, we study the spread of contagion in scale-free networks with 1,000 players using millions of Monte Carlo simulations.Using a case study of a newly emerging CSA, the role of social contagion in network evolution will be assessed. The merit of this research stems from its central task of …By considering overlapping portfolios among financial institutions, we construct a financial contagion model for inter-bank networks with two channels of contagion: counter-party risk and common asset holdings risk. Based on the model, we verify the contribution of overlapping portfolios to systemic risk contagion and further analyse how the degree of diversification and initial shock affect ...Financial networks and the contagion of bank failures ha ve been widely studied beginning with. the seminal work on financial payment networks by Eisenberg & Noe [14]. The 2007-2009.The presence of complex contagion mechanisms has been assessed in various contexts 27, but largely in online social networks and forums 28,29, thanks to their unique data traceability.The risk contagion research is carried out from three aspects:guarantee mechanism, partner selection mechanism, and production parameter. The research shows that: (1) Firm size distribution takes on a power-law tail. (2) Guarantee network provides a channel for risk contagion and aggravates risk contagion among firms.Contagion risk in global export networks. The export network of products between different countries of the world can spread the risk derived from geopolitical decision-making, and the effects of climate change or natural disasters. States can contract dependency relationships. Therefore, if state B becomes the main destination of exports …Using these algorithms, we study the spread of contagion in scale-free networks with 1,000 players using millions of Monte Carlo simulations. Our analysis provides quantitative and qualitative insight into the design of policies to control or spread contagion in networks. The scope of application is enlarged given the many other situations ...This paper studies the problem of identifying the contagion source when partial timestamps of a contagion process are available. Contagion processes can be used to model many real-world phenomena, including rumor spreading in online social networks, epidemics in human beings, and malware on the Internet. Informally speaking, locating … Contagion in networks, [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1]