Sean t rcp twitter

“COVID, at least post-March '20, was just a different sort of shock to the system. Probably required a different sort of response, especially once it was apparent that we were bouncing back from the shock quickly.”

In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested usersJul 5, 2018 · “Put differently, if you had placed Kennedy on the 1968 Warren Court, he would have appeared to be a freakishly right-of-center justice. For that matter, Souter probably would have voted with Harlan, who held down the right flank of that Court. 6/” “Aside from the expense, this is a significant risk to human life in a disproportionately elderly body that already has some known cases. If he does this, the House should expel him (and anyone else who goes along with him).”In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users“But in a wave year, these will come into varying degrees of play. So if the generic ballot starts to reach R+6 or so (which is probably about right if Biden stays in the low 40s) you're suddenly in a scenario where about 30 seats suddenly come into play. 5/”

Oct 19, 2022 · “I think a lot of problems with Rhaenys Targaryen not incinerating the Greens comes from the weird gender politics the show has embraced. One of the interesting thing about GOT was it wasn't afraid to make the female characters as crazy and murderous as the men. 1/” “Put differently, if you had placed Kennedy on the 1968 Warren Court, he would have appeared to be a freakishly right-of-center justice. For that matter, Souter probably would have voted with Harlan, who held down the right flank of that Court. 6/”Sean T at RCP is a free elf @SeanTrende. It described it as being 100% in, but in fact, those precincts are partially reporting. There are eight counties still at ...Erick is a Research Hydrologist at the USGS Geology, Minerals, Energy, and Geophysics Science Center. He specializes in the development of methods and tools ...“@shundle So if what we're seeing is more about Ds being hyperenthusiastic, rather than people changing minds, we might expect to see something like what I've sketched out.”In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users

“Here in the real world Silver gives Demings a 1-in-17 chance of beating Rubio, but sure, why not?”“One of the quiet stories under the hood is that Republicans are looking like they'll win the popular vote. Probably a popular vote swing of 5% (depending on how CA votes work out), swinging about 2% of the chamber. IOW, the generic polls are likely to be about spot on. Why? 1/”“One problem Biden has is that he doesn't have much "crawl-over-broken-glass-twice-to-vote-for-him" type support. That inoculated Obama and Trump from a total wipeout. He really could completely collapse.”Oct 19, 2022 · “I think a lot of problems with Rhaenys Targaryen not incinerating the Greens comes from the weird gender politics the show has embraced. One of the interesting thing about GOT was it wasn't afraid to make the female characters as crazy and murderous as the men. 1/” In this conversation. Verified accountIn this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users

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Apr 16, 2021 · In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users“One final thought on the Clinton-Comey thing. It's fashionable to refer to "just needing to flip 40,000 votes across three states"”In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users“Think of it this way: We're in a river channel right now with levies on either side, and the river is rising. As long as we stay in the channel seat losses will be surprisingly muted. But if the river rises much higher, all hell breaks loose …

“Fox and Friends” airs Monday through Friday from 6 a.m. to 9 a.m. EST on the Fox News Channel. Viewers can connect to “Fox and Friends” on Facebook, Twitter, Email and Instagram. “Fox and Friends” provides a link directly on their website ...01 Nov 2022 23:09:39Erick is a Research Hydrologist at the USGS Geology, Minerals, Energy, and Geophysics Science Center. He specializes in the development of methods and tools ...“So I don't know. Ideology certainly matters less than the 4th grade civics version, where candidates give speeches and voters decide who they agree with the most on the issues. I just think some of the current crop of Dem candidates are problematic for Democrats in unique ways.”“@rem110892 My pt is better to learn the lesson now than later in life when the consequences really are more severe (obvs not the death penalty lol). For this, a clear statement from the league and a "two strikes and you're out for the season" rule would suffice for me, others want more.”01 Nov 2022 23:09:39“Most people on this site sort into the relatively extreme positions of the two major parties: Almost no restrictions and government-funded, or made illegal. But when analyzing the impact of this opinion, just remember that most voters don't sort neatly into either camp. 2/”

Jun 2, 2022 · “Anyway,that's why VIII is the worst main storyline film. It destroys too much of the main storyline to leave any hope of wrapping things up in the final film. In fact, if I learned that Johnson was intentionally sabotaging the series, it would make more sense than what came out.”

... Twitter auto refresh google chrome, French dialect crossword clue, Debit and credit card reader for iphone, As soon as practicable legal definition, Tender ...Log in. Sign up“@jbview @yeselson I guess I feel like a representative doesn't lose by 35 points without seriously deviating from constituents' impressions of what they're about. But I think it's an interesting way of looking at it, and maybe her earlier campaigns don't conform to my expectations.”In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @ Protected Tweets @"There are obviously answers to all of this -- if there weren't I would not have led with him losing four of five times or so. The point is, though, that he's not THAT far off where he needs to be to be back in this. 9/9"Jun 1, 2022 · “Any of the remaining three presents a strong case, to my mind. I don't think it's AotC though. OK, fine, "I don't like sand" is arguably the worst or second worst line in all Star Wars history. But if you pull the Padme/Anakin romance and ninja Yoda stuff, it isn't terrible. 2/” Sean T at RCP @SeanTrende. ... Still early, but she's running ahead of Obama in 7 of the 8 IN counties reporting. 11:50 PM · Nov 8, 2016 · Twitter Web Client. 225.Sean T at RCP is a free elf @SeanTrende. I am not dismissive of these studies, but in retrospect my friends in high school who were the most into drugs tended to be self-medicating for anxiety/depression. Hard to separate chickens from eggs here. Quote Tweet. Gary Rosen.On the fringes, Johnson seems to have weathered the storm in WI, and is probably headed for a third term, although a systemic poll error against Rs could create a ...

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Sean T at RCP is a free elf @SeanTrende. Sr. Elections Analyst, RCP. @osupolisci. @aei. Recovering Att'y. Married to @emytrende, dad to 3. You shall love your crooked …Nov 3, 2021 · Sean T at RCP @SeanTrende · Nov 3, 2021 Replying to @SeanTrende suggesting that Trump's '20 gains among Hispanic are potentially sticking. Swings from 2020 are in working class townships, suggesting continued movement for voters there. If there's a silver lining for Ds, its that the wealthier townships in the northwest didn't move as much. “@jbview @yeselson I guess I feel like a representative doesn't lose by 35 points without seriously deviating from constituents' impressions of what they're about. But I think it's an interesting way of looking at it, and maybe her earlier campaigns don't conform to my expectations.”In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users“I've done these before and they are a handy way to see what the votes mean. Basically, once counties clear a certain number of votes in, this take them and compares them to 2017 results, with 4.5% taken off the 2017 results (since Northam won by 9). 1/”“Which was a huge miscalculation on his part (I remember some offical basically saying "no Republican president would be crazy enough to undo this." Oops.) Anyway ...“The people hunting “deplorables” ARE THE BAD GUYS. Seriously, it’s about an uprising against a bunch of effete, entitled international elites in cars with EU plates led by a Mississippian in a body-suit apparently modeled …Jun 1, 2022 · “Any of the remaining three presents a strong case, to my mind. I don't think it's AotC though. OK, fine, "I don't like sand" is arguably the worst or second worst line in all Star Wars history. But if you pull the Padme/Anakin romance and ninja Yoda stuff, it isn't terrible. 2/” “As I've said before, I think the alternatives offered up by the Tea Party purifiers and populists have largely been appalling. But if you look back over the past 40 years, its not hard to understand how this happened. 17/17” ….

“We need more analysis like this. Hispanics are not a monolith -- the entire construct isn't necessarily how people termed "Hispanic" or "Latino" conceive of themselves. Immigration, for example, has very different relationships with Mex-Am, Cuban-Am, and Puerto Rican voters.”Nov 2, 2021 · “McAuliffe starting to get some more results above the line. Also, moving the threshold up to 85% reporting. City of Richmond hasn't started to come in yet, and Fairfax is still largely outstanding. This is still very interesting.” “Here in the real world Silver gives Demings a 1-in-17 chance of beating Rubio, but sure, why not?”“One of the quiet stories under the hood is that Republicans are looking like they'll win the popular vote. Probably a popular vote swing of 5% (depending on how CA votes work out), swinging about 2% of the chamber. IOW, the generic polls are likely to be about spot on. Why? 1/”Senior elections analyst for RCP, Sean Trende, likewise said that the claim was “untrue” on Twitter. While The Associated Press and cable news networks have projected Biden as the winner, RCP has not called the 2020 presidential race for either candidate at the time of publication. RCP lists Biden as having 259 electoral votes and …Sean T at RCP on Twitter: "For people under 16 this is less deadly than the flu. Not even on my radar of considerations. And as I said, in a few weeks if you haven't received your vaccine, it's pretty much on you. Especially given the teeny tiny risk of outdoor transmission to begin with.… https://t.co/Dw7OXIHcO4"In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users“@jbview @yeselson I guess I feel like a representative doesn't lose by 35 points without seriously deviating from constituents' impressions of what they're about. But I think it's an interesting way of looking at it, and maybe her earlier campaigns don't conform to my expectations.”“If you don't want to know about the horse race, it's a big internet! Lots of people write about policy. In fact, there are more of them than there are of us, in part because there's no real mystery about the types of policy the GOP will at least nominally pursue. 3/”Twitter is a popular social network in the U.S, with an audience reach of 77.75 million users, and a global advertising audience of 187 million. The first step to advertising on Twitter is creating a Twitter ads account. Go to Twitter.com a... Sean t rcp twitter, [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1]